An adaptation of a macroscale methodology to assess the direct economic losses caused by Tropical Cyclone Idai in Zimbabwe
Abstract
Tropical cyclones are among the costliest disasters in the world, with reported losses amounting
to billions of US dollars on an annual basis. To reduce the impact of disasters including
cyclones, Zimbabwe signed the Sendai Framework whose Target C is aimed at reducing the
direct economic losses of disasters. Under the direction of the United Nations Office for
Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR), an open-ended intergovernmental expert working group
(OIEWG) developed a simple methodology for estimating direct disaster-economic loss.
Therefore, this study tested the applicability of the OIEWG methodology in assessing the
direct economic losses induced by Tropical Cyclone Idai (TCI) in Zimbabwe. The results
revealed that TCI inflicted huge losses in most sectors of the economy, notably the housing,
agriculture and the critical infrastructure. The sectoral analysis approach of the OIEWG
methodology worked well in distinguishing direct and indirect loses as well as in underlining
the need to adopt and effectively implement adequate risk reduction strategies in the built
environment. Strengthening such strategies such as the ‘build back better’ principle, cyclone
forecasting and warning systems and constructing cyclone-resilient infrastructure is critical in
order to minimise direct losses attributed to cyclones.